How Predictions Work
Statistical Model
Each prediction is generated using a Poisson regression model that estimates the expected number of goals each team will score. The model uses team-specific attacking strength and defensive weakness parameters, calculated from historical match results weighted by recency. Home advantage, league averages, and recent form are all factored into the probability estimates.
Reading the Probabilities
The percentage shown for each option represents our model's estimated probability of that outcome. The "Pick" column highlights the most likely outcome for each market. When odds are available, you can compare the implied probability (100 / odds) against our model's probability to identify potential value — if our probability is higher than what the odds imply, there may be an edge. See our Value Bets page for matches where this edge is highest.
Markets Covered
We generate predictions across 16 markets for each fixture: Match Winner (1X2), Both Teams to Score (BTTS) for full match, first half, and second half, Over/Under goals at 1.5, 2.5, and 3.5 lines for full match, plus half-time and second-half O/U lines, Double Chance, and Total Corners at 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, and 10.5 lines. The "Top Tips" tab shows our highest-confidence pick per fixture across all markets.
Data and Updates
Predictions are recalculated daily at 5:30 UTC using the latest team statistics from across 1200+ leagues worldwide. The model incorporates results from recent matches to keep team strength parameters current. Live scores update in real-time via WebSocket, so you can track how predictions perform as matches progress.
Track Record
Our model is calibrated to produce accurate probability estimates — when we say 70%, outcomes should occur approximately 70% of the time. Historical analysis shows strong calibration across major markets. Top-tier leagues (Premier League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, Ligue 1) typically show the best accuracy due to more consistent data and larger sample sizes. Lower-tier and cup competitions may have higher variance due to limited historical data and knockout format unpredictability.
Disclaimer
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. All betting carries risk — never wager more than you can afford to lose. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, please seek help from a responsible gambling organization in your country.
Related: Value Bets · Bet of the Day · Today's Fixtures






















































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































































